⚡ Snapshot
▲ +0.16% S&P FuturesVIX 19.2Earnings: 2 names🇺🇸 Data: 2 items
Today's Focus
XLC Communications · TSLA(Pre-market movers) · COIN(Pre-market movers) · MU(Pre-market movers) · CX(Earnings today)
Market Overview Overnight Futures · Asia/Europe Sessions · Macro
S&P Futures
▲ +0.16%
7,683.25
Nasdaq Futures
▲ +0.62%
29,291.25
Dow Futures
▲ +0.03%
52,564.00
Russell Futures
▼ -0.25%
2,786.20
VIX
19.23
-1.13%
SPY Pre-market
▲ +0.31%
762.30
QQQ Pre-market
▲ +0.57%
708.40
🌏 Global Markets Asia (Close/Near Close) · Europe (Intraday) · FX, Rates & Commodities
Asian Markets (Close/Near Close)
| Today | 5D | 21 trading days | 21-trading-day trend | Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 · Period return not shown: trading calendar not yet verified, so the comparison period cannot be confirmed | ▼ -0.86% · Observation time pending verification | — | — | 62,189.65 | |
| Hang Seng · Period return not shown: trading calendar not yet verified, so the comparison period cannot be confirmed | ▲ +0.51% · Observation time pending verification | — | — | 23,211.81 | |
| Shanghai Composite · Period return not shown: trading calendar not yet verified, so the comparison period cannot be confirmed | ▲ +0.32% · Observation time to be verified | — | — | 3,697.52 | |
| KOSPI · Period return not shown: trading calendar not yet verified, so the comparison period cannot be confirmed | ▼ -1.00% · Observation time pending confirmation | — | — | 5,469.47 | |
| TAIEX · Period return not shown: trading calendar not yet verified, so the comparison period cannot be confirmed | ▼ -1.43% · Observation time to be verified | — | — | 46,041.43 |
European Markets (Intraday)
| Today | 5D | 21 trading days | 21-trading-day trend | Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STOXX50 · Period return not shown: trading calendar not yet verified, so the comparison period cannot be confirmed | ▲ +0.81% · Observation time pending verification | — | — | 6,108.59 | |
| DAX · Period return not shown: trading calendar not yet verified, so the comparison period cannot be confirmed | ▲ +1.08% · Observation time pending verification | — | — | 25,422.31 | |
| FTSE100 · Period return not shown: trading calendar not yet verified, so the comparison period cannot be confirmed | ▲ +0.67% · Observation time pending confirmation | — | — | 10,742.57 | |
| CAC40 · Period return not shown: trading calendar not yet verified, so the comparison period cannot be confirmed | ▲ +1.00% · Observation time pending verification | — | — | 7,850.02 |
FX · Rates · Commodities
| Today | 5D | 21 trading days | 21-trading-day trend | Level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Dollar DXY · Range through 2026-10-23 full daily candle | ▲ +0.25% · Observation time to be verified | -0.0% | +0.5% | 101.89 | |
| USDJPY · Range through 2026-10-23 full daily candle | ▲ +0.31% · Observation time pending verification | -1.0% | -1.1% | 157.31 | |
| 10Y yield · Period return not shown: trading calendar not yet verified, so the comparison period cannot be confirmed | ▲ +0.04% · Observed, time pending verification | — | — | 4.99 | |
| WTI crude oil · Period return not shown: trading calendar not yet verified, so the comparison period cannot be confirmed | ▲ +0.17% · Observation time to be confirmed | — | — | 101.13 | |
| Gold · Range through 2026-10-23 full daily candle | ▲ +0.34% · Observed, time to be confirmed | -4.1% | -6.7% | 4,035.10 | |
| Copper · Range through 2026-10-23 full daily candle | ▲ +0.77% · Observation time pending verification | -0.8% | -3.6% | 6.52 | |
| BTC · Range through 2026-10-23 full daily candle | ▲ +0.19% · Observation time pending confirmation | -0.5% | -3.9% | 80,202.75 |
Sectors & Stocks Prior Close Volatility Structure + Pre-market Moves
Sector Volatility Structure (Prior Close Baseline) Strength/weakness × market breadth · Range ratio = marked-day range/prior-trading-day ATR14; volatility = prior full 20 days · Trend = 21 trading days (green dots = high, red dots = low)
| Sector | Today | 5D | 21 trading days | Volatility | Range Ratio | Consecutive | Breadth Above 20DMA | 21-trading-day trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH Semiconductors · Range through 2026-10-23, complete daily candles | +0.08% | -2.3% | -12.2% | 34% | 0.7× | — | — | ||
| XLB Materials · Range through 2026-10-23, complete daily candles | +0.00% | +0.8% | +3.3% | 13% | 1.2× | — | 75% | ||
| XLRE Real Estate · Range through 2026-10-23, complete daily candles | -0.00% | +1.0% | +2.2% | 15% | 1.3× | +2 Days | 80% | ||
| XLY Consumer Discretionary · Range through 2026-10-23, complete daily candles | -0.01% | +0.6% | +2.5% | 15% | 0.8× | -2 Days | 68% | ||
| XLP Consumer Staples · Range through 2026-10-23, complete daily candles | -0.03% | +0.7% | +8.0% | 20% | 1.4× | — | 91% | ||
| XLF Financials · Range through 2026-10-23, complete daily candles | -0.04% | +0.7% | +2.5% | 13% | 0.8× | — | 74% | ||
| XLU Utilities · Range through 2026-10-23, complete daily candles | -0.07% | +0.8% | +8.1% | 17% | 0.6× | — | 84% | ||
| XLE Energy · Range through 2026-10-23, complete daily candles | -0.14% | +1.6% | +10.8% | 20% | 1.3× | — | 82% | ||
| XLK Technology · Range through 2026-10-23, complete daily candles | -0.16% | -0.1% | -5.9% | 24% | 0.7× | — | 45% | ||
| XLV Health Care · Range through 2026-10-23, complete daily candles | -0.23% | +1.5% | +5.5% | 19% | 0.6× | — | 93% | ||
| XLI Industrials · Range through 2026-10-23, complete daily candles | -0.23% | -1.9% | -2.5% | 14% | 0.9× | -2 Days | 60% | ||
| XLC Communication Services · Range through 2026-10-23, complete daily candles | -0.42% | -4.4% | -7.4% | 17% | 0.7× | -3 days | 50% |
⭐ Today's Focus Sectors = price change + volatility expansion + continuity score · Individual stocks = price moves / earnings / model records combined
XLCCommunications-0.42%3 consecutive days down5-day -4.4%
TSLATesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary+2.4%Pre-market movers
COINCoinbase Global, Inc. · Financials-2.4%Pre-market movers
MUMicron Technology, Inc. · Technology+2.2%Pre-market movers
CXCEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. · Materials+1.8%Today's Earnings
VZVerizon Communications Inc. · Communication Services-0.9%Today's Earnings
Event-Driven Earnings · Data · News
📊 Earnings × Data · Event Calendar
Earnings: yesterday after close + today before open (market cap ≥ $5B)
| Company | Session | Market Cap | Prior-year EPS | Pre-market reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VZ Verizon Communications Inc Communications | Pre-market | 188B | $1.21 | -0.9% |
| CX Cemex S.A.B. de C.V. Materials | Pre-market | 15B | $0.16 | +1.8% |
Today's economic data × special events (today + next 7 days)★4-5: key events. ★1-3: secondary events. Importance scores reflect the report’s assessment of relevance.
| ET | Important | Data / Event | Actual | Expected | Previous value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ★★★★ | Event 🌐 Brazil's presidential runoff result may be announced On October 25, Brazil will conduct the second round of its presidential election. According to Xinhua, in the first-round vote held on October 4, no candidate received more than 50% of valid votes, so the top two candidates advance to the runoff. | |||
| Today | ★★★★ | Event 🇨🇳 Fifth Plenary Session of the Twentieth Central Committee convenes The Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee held a meeting to discuss documents to be submitted for deliberation at the Fifth Plenary Session of the Twentieth Central Committee. General Secretary Xi Jinping presided over the meeting. The meeting decided that the Fifth Plenary Session of the Twentieth Central Committee of the Communist Party of China will be held in Beijing from October 26 to 29. (Xin | |||
| Tomorrow | ★★★★ | Event 🛢 Israeli General Election According to Xinhua, Israel plans to conduct legislative elections before October 27, 2026 to elect 120 members of the twenty-sixth parliament. | |||
| Tomorrow 20:00 | ★★★★ | Event 🇰🇷 SK Hynix Q3 Earnings Call The SK Hynix call is scheduled for October 28 9:00 AM KST (Korea Standard Time), corresponding to Beijing time October 28 8:00 AM | |||
| 10-28 Wed 13:00 | ★★★ | Event 🇺🇸 Apple's Second October Event: First Touchscreen MacBook and New iPad mini to Launch Together This Apple event, "Pro and Tell", is held in Los Angeles, U.S., and is expected to feature new Mac and iPad mini models. Its first touchscreen MacBook Pro (with an OLED display and a "Dynamic Island" interface | |||
| 10-28 Wed 14:30 | ★★★★ | Event 🇺🇸 Fed Chair Warsh to conduct monetary policy press conference The Fed's decision is due in the early hours of October 29. The Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank also conduct meetings the same week, and all three are widely expected to leave rates unchanged. The wording of the press conferences by Warsh and Kazuo Ueda will be key, and clues pointing to a December rate hike need close monitoring. | |||
| 10-28 Wed 16:30 | ★★★★ | Event 🇺🇸 Google Q3 Earnings Call Google (Alphabet) October 28, 2026 1:30 PM PT (Pacific Time) October 29, 2026 (Thu) 04:30 Calendar year 2026 Q3 earnings report | |||
| 10-28 Wed 17:00 | ★★★★ | Event 🇺🇸 Microsoft Q3 Earnings Call Microsoft October 28, 2026 2:30 PM PT (Pacific Time) October 29, 2026 (Thu) 05:30 Corresponds to its fiscal year 2027 first fiscal quarter (Q1) financial | |||
| 10-28 Wed 21:00 | ★★★★ | Event 🇰🇷 Samsung Electronics Q3 Earnings Call Samsung Electronics 2026 Q3 full results and earnings call are scheduled for Thursday, October 29, at 10:00 a.m. Korea Standard Time (09:00 a.m. Beijing time). | |||
| 10-29 Thu 17:00 | ★★★★ | Event 🇺🇸 Intel Q3 Earnings Call According to official news published on the Intel IR official calendar page: | |||
| 10-29 Thu 17:00 | ★★★★ | Event 🇺🇸 Amazon Q3 Earnings Call According to a press release published on the Amazon IR official event page: | |||
| 10-29 Thu 23:30 | ★★★★ | Event 🇯🇵 Bank of Japan announces interest rate decision | |||
| 10-30 Fri | ★★★★ | Event 🇺🇸 Anthropic plans to publish its prospectus as early as late October According to Reuters, citing people familiar with the matter, Anthropic plans to publish its prospectus as early as late October and complete its IPO in mid-November, with a roadshow for institutional investors expected to start in the week of November 9. The people familiar also cautioned that the above plan and timing | |||
| 10-30 Fri 02:30 | ★★★★ | Event 🇯🇵 Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda to conduct monetary policy press conference The Fed's decision is due in the early hours of October 29. The Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank also conduct meetings the same week, and all three are widely expected to leave rates unchanged. The wording of the press conferences by Warsh and Kazuo Ueda will be key, and clues pointing to a December rate hike need close monitoring. | |||
| 10-30 Fri 05:45 | ★★★★ | Event 🇯🇵 Kioxia Earnings Call Kioxia\tOctober 30, 2026 18:45 JST (Japan Standard Time)\tOctober 30, 2026 (Friday) 17:45\tCorresponds to its fiscal year 2026 Q2 (Q2) earnings report | |||
| 10-31 Saturday | ★★★★ | Event 🇨🇳 late October, Apple's China-market Apple Intelligence launches in beta (integrating Alibaba's Qwen) According to reports, Apple's China-market Apple Intelligence has launched in beta, integrating Alibaba's Qwen and excluding Siri AI. The path for Apple AI to land in China has taken shape, which has substantive significance for the distribution landscape of domestic AI applications and for the commercialization of Alibaba's models. | |||
| 11-01 Sunday 01:00 | ★★★ | Event 🇺🇸 North America begins winter time, delaying US stock trading by one hour North America begins winter time. Trading hours in US and Canadian financial markets and release times for economic data will be one hour later than during daylight saving time. | |||
| 8 secondary items | |||||
| 08:30 | ★★ | 🇺🇸 September Chicago Fed National Activity Index | 0.07 | -0.1 | -0.04 |
| 10:30 | ★★ | 🇺🇸 October Dallas Fed Business Activity Index | To Be Announced | — | 9.8 |
| 21:30 | ★★★ | September year-over-year profits of industrial enterprises above designated size China | To Be Announced | — | 4.2 |
| 10-29 Thu | ★★★ | 🇪🇺 EU-Canada Summit | |||
| 10-29 Thu | ★★★ | 🇨🇳 Tencent Global Digital Ecosystem Summit (Shenzhen) | |||
| 11-01 Sunday | ★★★ | 🛢 OPEC+ meeting | |||
| 11-01 Sunday 23:02 | ★★★ | 🇨🇳 The 2026 World Internet Conference Wuzhen Summit will be held from November 2 to 5 | |||
| 11-02 Monday | ★★★ | 🇨🇳 The 2026 World Internet Conference Wuzhen Summit opens | |||
🎯 Prediction Market Pricing Reference Polymarket · Kalshi · Market-price-implied probabilities · Quote time 2026-10-26T09:03:07-04:00 ET
Macro event market-price-implied probabilities
| Event | Polymarket | Kalshi | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FOMC meeting contract · unchanged rate · Polymarket | 94.4% | — | — |
| FOMC meeting contract · unchanged rate · Kalshi | — | 94.5% | — |
| FOMC meeting contract · hike · Polymarket | 5.5% | — | — |
| FOMC meeting contract · hike · Kalshi | — | 6.5% | — |
Data releases · market-implied estimates
| Event | Release date | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI y/y · Kalshi | — | — | — |
| Core CPI y/y · Polymarket | — | 2.6% 93.5% | — |
| Core CPI y/y · Kalshi | — | — | — |
| Unemployment rate · Polymarket | — | 4.2% 37% | — |
| Unemployment rate · Kalshi | — | — | — |
| Nonfarm payroll change (thousand jobs) · Kalshi | — | — | — |
Weather-Energy Chain
🌡️ Weather → natural gas chain
| HDD heating demand 15 days | 93.7 vs normal value 164.2 (-43%) |
| Past 7 Days CDD | 16.9 |
| Tropical System | No Tropical System in the Gulf |
| NG/UNG | NG 3.002 (+13.71%) · UNG 9.58 (-3.13%) |
2026-10-26~2026-11-10 · Population-weighted, 15 cities · Open-Meteo/NHC
Model Record Model Record × Research Observations
📊 Model Record × Research Observations
📊 Model Record (finalized at prior close)
Data pending
🏛️ This Week's House View Research Department verdict, 2026-10-26
Risk Dial 42/100 (Discretionary Score; 40–60 Neutral; Not a Position Ratio)
XLK -1ppSMH -2ppXLV +1ppXLE +2ppXLP +1ppXLI -1ppStyle: neutral
Summary
Pre-Market Summary
As of 2026-10-26T09:00:06.703167-04:00
Overnight and overseas markets
Tracked futures were mixed: S&P futures +0.16%; Nasdaq futures +0.62%; Dow futures +0.03%; Russell futures -0.25%. Overseas markets: Nikkei 225 -0.86%; Hang Seng +0.51%; Shanghai Composite +0.32%; KOSPI -1.00%; TAIEX -1.43%; STOXX50 +0.81%; DAX +1.08%; FTSE100 +0.67%; CAC40 +1.00%.
FX, rates and commodities
Cross-asset changes: DXY +0.25%; USDJPY +0.31%; WTI +0.17%; Gold +0.34%; Copper +0.77%; BTC +0.19%. Yield-change units are unspecified in this field; no basis-point change is inferred.
Earnings watch
Price changes in the earnings watchlist: VZ -0.94%; CX +1.76%. Price changes alone do not establish an earnings beat or miss.
Economic calendar
This report lists 3 calendar records, with actual values present for 1. No outcome is inferred for remaining records; see the data table for events, units and expectations.
Opening watch
Volatility: VIX 19.23.
Scenarios and risks
Direction is not aligned. Watch whether market and sector performance converges and reassess after new data arrives; the current ranking is not a trading instruction.
Research report for general information. Includes model outputs. Not personalized, not investment advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell. We do not manage accounts. No performance is guaranteed. Data as of 2026-10-26T09:00:06.703167-04:00.
Data: market quotes, company disclosures, and public economic data. The update time is the time this report was written, not the tick-level quote time. Price changes over a period are calculated using verifiable complete trading days or intraday quotes with an observation time; missing items are not treated as zero.